How Long Will the Russia-Ukraine Crisis Continue?
A nation that lived under Russian patronage for hundreds of years gained its independence exactly 31 years ago. The view that was influential in Russia for many years was the fact that Ukraine experienced a temporary deviation in its course that could be corrected in a short time.
90% of the natural gas lines transferred from Russia to the West pass through Ukraine.
In addition, the country, which owns many ores in terms of underground and surface resources (Iron, Manganese, Uranium, Titanium), is an important grain store. This important potential of Ukraine, which is the largest country in the European Continent with a surface area of 604,000 km2, should not be ignored.
Established on April 4, 1949, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), with the end of the “Cold War” years, has gradually approached the Russian geography, especially during the expansion process towards the end of the nineties. Particularly, the membership of Hungary and Poland to the alliance in 1999 and then the membership of Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia in 2004 are among the important dynamics that accelerated the crisis process in the context of NATO-Russia tension.
Again, two important developments that laid the foundations of the crisis and made the Russian influence increasingly felt in the region are Russia’s military operations in Georgia in 2008; the occupation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and the annexation and annexation of Crimea in Ukraine in 2014. Thus, while Putin’s influence in the region gradually increased, the relations between the USA-NATO and Russia became more fragile.
In the Ukraine intervention that started in February 2022, Putin’s primary political goal is undoubtedly the elimination of the current government. The replacement of a satellite government after Zelensky, that is, a kind of Russian-led government, can be considered as a result that can stop Russia for the time being.
Source: https://onedio.com Melih Görgün